All Star Market Timing

Stock market timing with Elliott/Taucher/Gann/Cadbury methods and astro-finance outlook on the financial markets and is dedicated to the All Stars of Market Timing – R. N. Elliott, W. D. Gann, Frank Taucher and Chris Cadbury and many others that have influenced my market methodology.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The stock indices were mixed on Monday – the IWM declined on Monday but the SPX rallied. Usually on a Fed week, the SPX makes a high on Monday and then declines into Wednesday.  Uncertainty over several issues from the pending Supreme Court Ruling on tariffs to the vagaries of Trump’s new foreign policy initiatives are plaguing US capital markets. The close of our TRIN-5 indicator above 6.0 last week cautions us against getting too bearish here on the SPX. Still, holding a sizable cash position in this market is favored. Geo-political news from Iran and the big winter storm impacting the US has us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Gold broke above $5100 on Monday before correcting while silver broke above $117 before correcting. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX by May 2026. The XLE is coming into a seasonally strong period and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/23 close: 15% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 5% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/25 to include: 15% cash, 15% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/26-1/27, the Tuesday Comex option expiration and Fed Wednesday.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The IWM printed a “Gravestone Doji” candlestick on Thursday and that is giving the US stock market another wave of corrective action as the market digest some Big Tech earnings from MSFT, META and AAPL on Wednesday/Thursday as well as geopolitical news from China. Uncertainty over several issues from the pending Supreme Court Ruling on tariffs to the vagaries of Trump’s new foreign policy initiatives are plaguing US capital markets. The close of our TRIN-5 indicator above 6.0 last week cautions us against getting too bearish here on the SPX. Still, holding a sizable cash position in this market is favored. Geo-political news from Iran and the big winter storm impacting the US has us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Gold tested $5000 on Friday and silver tested $100 . Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX by May 2026. The XLE is coming into a seasonally strong period and is favored in our work for 2026. Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/9 close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/13 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/26-1/27, the Tuesday Comex option expiration and Fed Wednesday.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The aggressive Trump rhetoric against Greenland rattled the market and gave us a stiff correction by the end of Tuesday. The close of our TRIN-5 indicator above 6.0 on Friday cautions us against getting too bearish here on the SPX. In fact, our Option Premium Ratio gave us another “Island Reversal” pattern (0.72, 0.87, 0.73) on Tuesday’s close which is SHORT-TERM BULLISH for the SPX. Our TRIN-5 indicator closed above 6.0 on Friday’s close was bullish and a RECONFIRMING Buy Signal for the stock indices, so the SPX will be making higher highs soon. Our plan here is to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA on the hourly chart, so we will be looking to add to the DIA on Wednesday. Geo-political news from Iran and a big winter storm building in the US has us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Both the SPX and gold/silver gave us just 3-wave corrections on the 55-day Fibonacci step out on 1/14 and so, we are bullish for the SPX and the PM trade going into late January. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX by May 2026 – XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/9 close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/13 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/20, the Tuesday after a monthly option expiration.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The E-min sold off hard on Sunday night and continues to trade weakly on Monday night.  If we get a gap-down open on the SPX Tuesday morning, that will finish an EW a-b-c correction on the hourly chart. Our TRIN-5 indicator closed above 6.0 on Friday’s close again which is bullish and a RECONFIRMING Buy Signal for the stock indices, so the SPX will be making higher highs soon. Our plan here is to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA on the hourly chart, so we will be looking to add to the DIA on Tuesday which is a turn window in our work. Geo-political news from Iran,  oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Both the SPX and gold/silver gave us just 3-wave corrections on the 55-day Fibonacci step out on 1/14 and so, we are bullish for the SPX and the PM trade going into January. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 – XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/9 close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/13 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/20, the Tuesday after a monthly option expiration.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX made a new ATH at on 6985.83 Monday and then started a correction that ran into Tuesday. Our TRIN-5 indicator closed above 6.0 which is bullish – we could see more correction here, but the SPX will be making higher highs soon. Our plan here is to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA on the hourly chart. The news from Iran and the threat of another US attack have us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB – oil prices are breaking out above $61. How the SPX and gold/silver trade into the 55-day Fibonacci step out on 1/14 will dominate our thinking later into Q1 2026. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 – XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/12 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn windows for this week are 1/11-1/12 and 1/14.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX made a new ATH at on 6985.83 Monday and then started a correction that ran into Tuesday. Our TRIN-5 indicator closed above 6.0 which is bullish – we could see more correction here, but the SPX will be making higher highs soon. Our plan here is to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA on the hourly chart. The news from Iran and the threat of another US attack have us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB – oil prices are breaking out above $61. How the SPX and gold/silver trade into the 55-day Fibonacci step out on 1/14 will dominate our thinking later into Q1 2026. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 – XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/12 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn windows for this week are 1/11-1/12 and 1/14.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX rallied in an EW 5-wave pattern from the 11/21 low and made a new ATH at 6978.6 on Friday in the 10/9-10/12 turn window – the overnight Sunday price action looked bearish in the ES and NQ but the market moved back higher on Monday morning and we stopped out of some of our “put hedges”. Our plan here is to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA and the DIA was a buy early Monday. The news from Iran will have us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB – oil prices are trying to break out upward. How the SPX and gold/silver trade into the 55-day Fibonacci step out from on 1/14 will dominate our thinking later into Q1 2026. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 –XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/7 to include: 30% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn windows for this week are 1/11-1/12 and 1/14.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX rallied in an EW 5-wave diagonal pattern from the 11/21 low and made a new ATH at 6965.2 on Wednesday – we have turned cautious for a possible quick correction. There is also a planetary stellium forming that correlates with a change in trend. Our plan here is to to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA. The news from Venezuela will have us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. How the SPX and gold/silver trade into Friday will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX could be tracing out an EW 1-2, i-ii to the upside and could still spike to give the SPX a slap in the face on the first trading week of the New Year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 –XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Monday’s close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/7 to include: 30% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window into the weekend is on 1/9-1/10.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX made a low on Friday, 1/2 and the stock market is rallying hard into the first trading week of the New Year. The DJIA made an all-time high on Monday and the SPX is close to matching that. The big volatility that we saw for the SPX has been a strong trend up so far, so our caution is letting up to the point that we plan to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA. The news from Venezuela will have us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. How the SPX and gold/silver trade into January 9 will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX could be tracing out an EW 1-2, i-ii to the upside and could still spike to give the SPX a slap in the face on the first trading week of the New Year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 –XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Monday’s close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/5 to include: 50% cash, 30% SLV, 20% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 25% DIA, 25% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for the coming week is the 1/5-1/6, the Full Moon Timing Window.

  • Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX declined on Friday, the first trading day of 2026, but the futures are up overnight Sunday and the SPX could give us a gap-up open on Monday. The SPX gave us four down trading days in a row and we could see a rally on Monday as the big institutions return to Wall Street. We are still cautious here for the stock market and we expect some big volatility to hit the market by the close of Monday or Tuesday. There is a huge cluster of astro-finance activity this week and that promises some big volatility – we plan to mostly watch on Monday and watch the relative strength of the market sectors. The news from Venezuela will have us watching the oil sector for some long setups. We are looking to raise cash on Monday, 1/5 on the expected SPX rally. How the SPX and gold/silver trades into January 5 will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX could be tracing out an EW 1-2, i-ii to the upside and could spike to give the SPX a slap in the face on the first week of the New Year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important peak in the SPX and in Q1 2026 – gold/silver may have already made an important peak on 12/28, but XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 25% cash, 0% QQQ, 15% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/2 to include: 50% cash, 0% SLV, 0% SILJ, 0% Barrick, and 50% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for the coming week is the 1/5-1/6, the Full Moon Timing Window.